Islam MakhachevvsIan Machado Garry
Every tracked price on Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tailgate Exchange | Islam Makhachev | 1.36 | -1.7% |
| Kutt | Islam Makhachev | 1.34 | -2.9% |
| Polymarket | Islam Makhachev | 1.33 | -3.7% |
| Betano (United Kingdom) | Islam Makhachev | 1.33 | -4.0% |
| Betfair Exchange | Islam Makhachev | 1.32 | -4.5% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Islam Makhachev | 1.32 | -4.5% |
| BetOnline | Islam Makhachev | 1.31 | -5.2% |
| Sportsbetting.ag | Islam Makhachev | 1.31 | -5.2% |
+19.7%
The average bettor runs a negative ROI. Omenizer members are seeing +EV opportunities whose high-conviction tier (Omen 85+) has a measured realized ROI of +19.7% across 911 settled signals last 30 days — losses included. Create a free account to see today's live signals.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boomers | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -5.9% |
| STN Sports | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -6.0% |
| Betano | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -6.1% |
| Stake | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -6.1% |
| Coolbet | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -6.1% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -6.1% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -6.1% |
| Betano (Greece) | Islam Makhachev | 1.30 | -6.1% |
| Fanatics | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.6% |
| BET99 | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.6% |
| Bodog | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.6% |
| Bovada | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.6% |
| ESPN BET | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.6% |
| theScore | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.6% |
| DraftKings | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.9% |
| NetBet | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.9% |
| Kutt | Ian Machado Garry | 3.90 | -6.9% |
| betr (Australia) | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.9% |
| Bet Right | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -6.9% |
| Hard Rock | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| Hard Rock (Florida) | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| Hard Rock (Illinois) | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| Sports Interaction | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| bwin | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| Sportingbet | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| partypoker | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| BetMGM | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| Borgata | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| BetGRW | Islam Makhachev | 1.29 | -7.2% |
| Prophet X | Islam Makhachev | 1.28 | -7.3% |
| Matchbook Exchange | Islam Makhachev | 1.28 | -7.3% |
| Melbet | Islam Makhachev | 1.28 | -7.6% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Islam Makhachev 1.39 · Ian Machado Garry 4.19. How fair prices are made.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
· MLB · Baseball — pick Boston Red Sox
@ 2.32
99
Omen Score
Why this bet
+2.5%
Entry edge
+0.1%
Edge near close
+0.0%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.32
Fair price (no-vig)
2.50
Entry odds
Quality
60/100
Confidence
2
Sharp books
Standard
Class
Market state: Sharp consensus (2 books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
1.7%
Recommended stake
0.1%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+1.9%
Shin
+1.7%
Power
+2.5%
Additive
-4.9%
Worst case
+2.5%
Multiplicative
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.32 | +0.1% |
| Bovada | 2.30 | -0.8% |
| Espn-Bet | 2.30 | -0.8% |
| Betanysports | 2.30 | -0.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.29 | -1.2% |
| Matchbook | 2.26 | -2.5% |
| BetUS | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Gtbets | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| BetMGM | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Coolbet | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Sport888 | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Everygame | 2.25 | -2.9% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.32 odds → 43% implied win probability
43%
Fair win probability
+1.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.2% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Baseball) — +26.5% settled ROI on 53% winners
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Baseball) — +23.3% settled ROI on 57% winners
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Baseball) — +14.7% settled ROI on 48% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +7.1% settled ROI on 43% winners
Past performance
+1.2% 🔒
Closing line value
+2.7% 🔒
Average return
+2.0% 🔒
Beat the closing line
59%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +7.2% to +3.0% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 20, 14:54 UTC at 2.50 (+2.5% edge) → fair price at close 2.32 → closing-line value +5.2%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.50 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry
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