ProgresovsDanubio
Every tracked price on Progreso vs Danubio, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | Draw | 3.20 | -2.0% |
| sportingbet | Draw | 3.20 | -2.0% |
| sportsinteraction | Draw | 3.20 | -2.0% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Draw | 3.20 | -2.0% |
| galera-bet | Draw | 3.18 | -2.6% |
| overtimemarkets | Draw | 3.18 | -2.6% |
| isn | Draw | 3.15 | -3.5% |
| coolbet | Draw | 3.15 | -3.5% |
| sportsbetting-ag | Draw | 3.15 | -3.5% |
| betonline | Draw | 3.15 | -3.5% |
| draftkings | Draw | 3.15 | -3.5% |
| jazz-sports | Draw | 3.13 | -4.2% |
| saba-sports | Draw | 3.10 | -5.1% |
| ladbrokes | Draw | 3.10 | -5.1% |
| Coral | Draw | 3.10 | -5.1% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Draw | 3.10 | -5.1% |
| coolbet | Progreso | 3.10 | -5.1% |
| bracco | Draw | 3.08 | -5.7% |
| kalshi | Draw | 3.07 | -6.0% |
| kalshi | Progreso | 3.07 | -6.0% |
| codere | Draw | 3.05 | -6.6% |
| bovada | Draw | 3.05 | -6.6% |
| Bodog | Draw | 3.05 | -6.6% |
| superbet | Danubio | 2.40 | -7.0% |
| kalshi | Danubio | 2.40 | -7.0% |
| stake | Danubio | 2.40 | -7.0% |
| 888sport | Danubio | 2.40 | -7.0% |
| jazz-sports | Progreso | 3.03 | -7.2% |
| isn | Danubio | 2.38 | -7.8% |
| sportsbetting-ag | Danubio | 2.38 | -7.8% |
| betonline | Danubio | 2.38 | -7.8% |
| superbet | Progreso | 3.00 | -8.1% |
| betfair-ex | Danubio | 2.37 | -8.1% |
| betfair-ex | Draw | 3.00 | -8.1% |
| betfair-ex | Progreso | 3.00 | -8.1% |
| sportzino | Draw | 3.00 | -8.1% |
| sportzino | Progreso | 3.00 | -8.1% |
| betano | Progreso | 3.00 | -8.1% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Progreso | 3.00 | -8.1% |
| midnite | Draw | 3.00 | -8.1% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Progreso 3.27 · Draw 3.27 · Danubio 2.58. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
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PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99
Omen Score
Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.10 | +9.2% |
| BetOnline | 1.98 | +2.9% |
| SportsBetting.ag | 1.98 | +2.9% |
| Betr AU | 1.93 | +0.1% |
| BC.Game | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| betplay | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| rivalry | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| betwhale | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Jazz Sports | 1.91 | -0.8% |
| Coolbet | 1.90 | -1.2% |
| SX.bet | 1.88 | -2.4% |
| betmania | 1.88 | -2.4% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Progreso vs Danubio
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