ATP World Tour · Tennis · Jul 14, 2026 09:40 UTC · avg book margin 5.3%

Jerome KymvsDylan Dietrich

Kym–Dietrich at ATP: market closed 4.1% tighter to an 11.9% edge our board caught, then the result didn't matter

Offered at Betano2.95Fair price2.64+11.9% above fair

Omenizer detected 25 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

On the Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrich moneyline (ATP World Tour), Betano quoted 2.95 in decimal odds—a figure sitting 11.9% beyond the sharp consensus. The board published the signal before play. Bettors who acted moved at that rate.

The match finished 2–1. The moneyline wager lost. Single outcomes carry noise; we post both winners and losers without bias.

What counts across time: the closing odds ended +4.1% more favorable than entry—positive closing-line value. CLV strips away outcome randomness and reveals whether the odds themselves made sense. One loss tells you almost nothing; closing prices tell you something repeatable.

Tennis moneylines in this odds bracket have accumulated +4.6% ROI over 1657 resolved bets tracked on our board.

The detection engine flags these edges in real time, before matches start—not after results land. Live board access closes as prices shift; the window does not stay open indefinitely.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 2.69
90 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+6.0%
Entry edge
+5.1%
Edge near close
+0.5%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.56
Fair price (no-vig)
3.00
Entry odds
Quality
94/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
0.97%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Betano2.69+5.1%
bet1052.66+3.9%
SX.bet2.63+2.7%
Matchbook2.63+2.7%
Prophet X2.63+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange2.63+2.7%
STN Sports2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62+2.3%
4cx2.61+1.9%
Novig2.60+1.6%
Winpot2.60+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrich is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Jul 14, 2026 23:22 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).