WTA Tour · Tennis · Sep 07, 2026 19:00 UTC · avg book margin 6.7%
Katrina ScottvsVarvara Lepchenko
Betway is paying 12.8% over the sharp consensus in the moneyline market, 8 hours before first serve
What happened: Final score: 0–2. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.20 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (+0.0% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 8 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 3 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 8.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
8 hours before Katrina Scott vs Varvara Lepchenko (WTA Tour), bookmakers disagree about the moneyline market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 12.8% above the sharp consensus at Betway, at decimal odds of 2.20. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
The spread of prices across books is unusually wide right now — when bookmakers can't agree, someone is wrong, and the sharp consensus says which side.
3 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.
This signal fits 2 historically profitable patterns from our Playbook — the strongest has realized +11.2% on settled bets.
Similar bets have paid before: signals in this exact segment — tennis moneyline, mid-range odds — have returned +6.3% ROI across 3783 settled bets tracked on our board.
Edges like this don't wait for first serve: in this market, they have typically held for about 8 hours before the price corrects.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Katrina Scott vs Varvara Lepchenko
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Sep 07, 2026 23:41 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).