ITF Women · Tennis · Jul 15, 2026 12:30 UTC · avg book margin 8.6%

Bulatova–Giza ITF moneyline: DraftKings priced 13.0% soft, market recalibrated before serve—the closing edge is what counts

Offered at DraftKings2.50Fair price2.21+12.9% above fair

The moneyline at DraftKings for Arina Bulatova vs Lola Giza (ITF Women) contained a 13.0% gap to the sharpest consensus, offered at decimal 2.50. Our system caught the mispricing in the pre-match window, and bettors locked in the quoted price while it was available.

Match finished 2–0. The moneyline lost. Single outcomes are inherently random around any edge, and we publish results without filtering for winners.

Where the signal proved itself: by service time, the market had shifted +5.6% in the flagged position's favor—that closing-line value is the metric professionals use. Closing prices reflect accumulated market information; individual results do not.

Among 1743 completed tennis moneyline signals in this odds bracket, the cohort has logged +4.8% ROI over time.

Detection runs live during the betting window, not afterward. The board surfaces these prices in real time, before matches begin, when the edge remains capturable.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

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Record settled · last updated Jul 16, 2026 04:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free.