ITF Women · Tennis · Jul 17, 2026 07:00 UTC · avg book margin 8.2%

Jana BojovicvsPetra Konjikusic

Bojovic–Konjikusic ITF matchup: 14.9% mispricing at Superbet tightened by kickoff, moneyline winner delivered closing-line value

Offered at Superbet2.25Fair price1.96+14.9% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 486 live signals across 183 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

The moneyline for Jana Bojovic vs Petra Konjikusic (ITF Women) opened at decimal odds of 2.25 on Superbet—a price sitting 14.9% away from sharp consensus. The system caught the gap during the live window before the match began, and early bettors locked in that posted rate.

Bojovic won 2–0. The flagged moneyline returned +1.25 units per unit staked.

Market movement matters more than outcome noise: by kickoff, the line had shifted +0.5% in the bet's favor. That closing-line value—the measure professionals use to judge bets over time—confirms the edge was real, not luck.

Across 1803 resolved signals in women's tennis moneylines at this odds tier, the cumulative return reaches +4.9% ROI.

Detection runs live during the betting window, before matches kick off. The board publishes edges while bettors can still act on them.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 2.69
90 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+6.0%
Entry edge
+5.1%
Edge near close
+0.5%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.56
Fair price (no-vig)
3.00
Entry odds
Quality
94/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
0.97%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Betano2.69+5.1%
bet1052.66+3.9%
SX.bet2.63+2.7%
Matchbook2.63+2.7%
Prophet X2.63+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange2.63+2.7%
STN Sports2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62+2.3%
4cx2.61+1.9%
Novig2.60+1.6%
Winpot2.60+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Jana Bojovic vs Petra Konjikusic is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Jul 17, 2026 12:12 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).