MLB · Baseball · Jul 18, 2026 17:10 UTC

Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates: sport888 offering 47.0% premium on Asian handicap versus sharp consensus, 16 hours until play

Offered at sport8882.35Fair price1.60+47.0% above fair

Omenizer detected 7 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
BraccoCleveland Guardians2.04+6.3%
BetGRWCleveland Guardians2.04+6.3%
Sportsbetting.agCleveland Guardians2.04+6.3%
BetOnlineCleveland Guardians2.04+6.3%
Prime SportsCleveland Guardians2.02+5.3%
BetNowCleveland Guardians2.01+4.8%
BodogCleveland Guardians2.01+4.8%
BovadaCleveland Guardians2.01+4.8%
CampoBetCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
WinpotCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
Jackpot.betCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
BetanoCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
DraftKingsCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
CaesarsCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
William HillCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
ESPN BETCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
theScoreCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
Team MexicoCleveland Guardians2.00+4.2%
22betCleveland Guardians1.98+3.2%
BetNationCleveland Guardians1.98+3.2%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

The Asian handicap market for Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) shows a pricing fracture with 16 hours left before first pitch. One side is quoted at decimal odds of 2.35 on sport888—a 47.0% deviation above where sharp operators have positioned fair value. This divergence exists now, not in hindsight: the opportunity remains live as long as the odds hold.

Three patterns from our Playbook overlap this bet. The most successful has yielded +14.3% on resolved positions.

Baseball Asian handicap bets at this odds tier have returned +32.0% ROI across 66 closed bets in our records—a track record suggesting similar signals have paid.

Mispricings this wide rarely last through game time: comparable edges in this market segment have historically compressed within roughly 0 minutes.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
FC U Craiova 1948 vs Maxline Vitebsk · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — pick FC U Craiova 1948 @ 2.30
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+3.4%
Entry edge
+13.5%
Edge near close
2.03
Fair price (no-vig)
2.15
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
5
Sharp books
Prime pick
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
2.9%
Recommended stake
10.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+3.1%
Shin
+3.0%
Power
+3.4%
Additive
-7.9%
Worst case
+3.4%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Betanything2.30+13.5%
BetUS2.25+11.1%
BetOnline2.25+11.1%
SportsBetting.ag2.25+11.1%
Betmania2.18+7.6%
Betano2.10+3.7%
Bracco2.04+0.7%
Bet1052.03+0.2%
YouWager2.02-0.3%
Jazz Sports2.00-1.3%
Stake1.98-2.2%
Unibet1.98-2.2%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.30 odds → 43% implied win probability
49%
Fair win probability
+8.7% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.3% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Soccer) — +8.0% settled ROI on 40% winners
early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.2% settled ROI on 48% winners
consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +7.0% settled ROI on 43% winners
steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +6.9% settled ROI on 40% winners
Past performance

Based on 108 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days

+6.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+4.0% 🔒
Beat the closing line
83%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +1.0% to +7.0% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 15, 06:20 UTC at 2.15 (+3.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.03 → closing-line value +2.7%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.15 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).