MLB · Baseball · Jul 19, 2026 16:07 EDT · avg book margin 7.0%

Los Angeles AngelsvsDetroit Tigers

Angels-Tigers totals show 7.0% mispricing with 12 hours left until first pitch

Offered2.02Fair price1.89+7.0% above fair
A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
Tailgate ExchangeLos Angeles Angels2.32+0.2%
SX BetLos Angeles Angels2.32+0.2%
FliffLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
TonyBetLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
PlayNowLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
NovigLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
Mise-o-jeuLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
NorthStar BetsLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
Desert DiamondLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
SugarHouseLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
TwinSpiresLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
Four WindsLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
BetRiversLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
BetOpenlyLos Angeles Angels2.30-0.7%
SharpLos Angeles Angels2.29-1.1%
bet105Los Angeles Angels2.28-1.6%
EverygameLos Angeles Angels2.28-1.6%
YouWagerLos Angeles Angels2.28-1.6%
1XBetDetroit Tigers1.76-1.9%
Matchbook ExchangeLos Angeles Angels2.27-2.0%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

The totals market for Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) displays a 7.0% gap between sharp consensus and current pricing, with 12 hours remaining before first pitch. This spread represents an active opportunity, not historical analysis — the mismatch exists in real time as odds refresh.

The signal aligns with 3 patterns from our Playbook's historical record, including one variant that has returned +14.7% on settled positions.

Baseball totals in this odds range have a documented track record: 1192 settled bets across our database in this category have produced +2.6% ROI.

Mispricings of this magnitude typically persist for approximately 20 hours before convergence toward fair value occurs in this market segment.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).