MLB · Baseball · Jul 18, 2026 20:08 EDT · avg book margin 6.7%

New York YankeesvsLos Angeles Dodgers

Yankees–Dodgers totals at 2.90 decimal: 16.8% overpriced, caught live, cashed on 2–8 final

Offered at Bet992.90Fair price2.48+16.8% above fair

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

The totals market for New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) contained a mispricing our board detected before first pitch. Bet99 was offering decimal odds of 2.90, sitting 16.8% above the consensus price across sharp books. Bettors who acted on the signal held that price throughout the betting window.

Result: 2–8. Bets at the flagged odds returned +1.90 units per unit wagered.

What validates the edge: the closing line moved +0.0% in the backed direction. Closing-line value separates genuine mispricings from variance. A final score can go either way; a market shift cannot.

Baseball totals signals in this odds bracket have accumulated +2.3% ROI across 1201 settled tickets tracked on our board.

Detection happens live, before kickoff, not in hindsight. The board flags these gaps while the betting window remains open and action is possible.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Jul 20, 2026 04:32 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).