ATP Challenger Tour · Tennis · Jul 20, 2026 13:10 UTC · avg book margin 6.5%
Montes-De La Torre over Barton: 16.3% mispricing at Bet99 closed with +5.9% CLV
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 827 live signals across 329 matches, found the same way.
The ATP Challenger Tour moneyline between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Hynek Barton showed structural mispricing at Bet99 before the opening serve. Decimal odds of 2.30 on one side sat 16.3% above sharp consensus. The board surfaced it in real time, and bettors who moved in captured the price while windows remained open.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre defeated Hynek Barton 2–0. A 1-unit stake at the flagged odds returned +1.30 units.
Single matches produce noise. Price movement produces signal. By kickoff, the moneyline had shifted +5.9% toward the backed side—a directional move professionals measure as closing-line value. CLV separates genuine edges from variance because betting markets do not lie the way scoreboards do.
Across 1912 settled tennis moneyline bets in this odds tier, the segment has tracked +4.7% ROI.
Detection runs live every day before play begins—not reconstructed after final scores arrive. The active board exposes mispricings while betting windows remain open and capital can be deployed.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Niccolo Ciavarella
· ITF Men · Tennis — pick Raffaele Ciurnelli
@ 1.91
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+13.0%
Shin
+13.4%
Power
+12.3%
Additive
-1.1%
Worst case
+12.3%
Multiplicative
Insights
Fairline based on a single sharp source.Limited sharp data for this market.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Rushbet
4.30
+127.5%
Coral
1.91
+1.0%
Ladbrokes
1.91
+1.0%
Unibet
1.85
-2.3%
Hard Rock
1.83
-3.0%
BetRivers
1.81
-4.4%
Four Winds
1.81
-4.4%
Twinspires
1.81
-4.4%
Sugarhouse
1.81
-4.4%
Desert Diamond
1.81
-4.4%
Superbet
1.78
-5.8%
Neds
1.77
-6.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.91 odds → 52% implied win probability
53%
Fair win probability
+5.0% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.3% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Past performance
Based on 1,078 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+6.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+2.0% 🔒
Average return
+4.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +6.7% to +6.5% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 20, 11:33 UTC at 2.05 (+12.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.76 → closing-line value +3.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.05 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Hynek Barton
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 21, 2026 04:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).