ATP Challenger Tour · Tennis · Jul 20, 2026 13:10 UTC · avg book margin 6.5%
Inaki Montes-De La TorrevsHynek Barton
Montes-De La Torre over Barton: 16.3% mispricing at Bet99 closed with +5.9% CLV
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 488 live signals across 182 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The ATP Challenger Tour moneyline between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Hynek Barton showed structural mispricing at Bet99 before the opening serve. Decimal odds of 2.30 on one side sat 16.3% above sharp consensus. The board surfaced it in real time, and bettors who moved in captured the price while windows remained open.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre defeated Hynek Barton 2–0. A 1-unit stake at the flagged odds returned +1.30 units.
Single matches produce noise. Price movement produces signal. By kickoff, the moneyline had shifted +5.9% toward the backed side—a directional move professionals measure as closing-line value. CLV separates genuine edges from variance because betting markets do not lie the way scoreboards do.
Across 1912 settled tennis moneyline bets in this odds tier, the segment has tracked +4.7% ROI.
Detection runs live every day before play begins—not reconstructed after final scores arrive. The active board exposes mispricings while betting windows remain open and capital can be deployed.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Hynek Barton
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 21, 2026 04:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).