Yankees-Pirates totals market splits 4.3% wide across sportsbooks — sharp consensus and a 18-hour window
What happened: Final score: 8–5. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.35 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-9.9% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 18 hours after detection before the edge closed.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 17.9 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
With 18 hours until New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB), the totals market is fragmented across sportsbooks—and the sharpest operators disagree with the highest current price by 4.3%. The edge exists in real time, not in hindsight: bets placed now lock in the mismatch before it closes.
When bookmakers scatter this far apart on the same market, one side is mispriced—and the sharp consensus identifies which. Wide price dispersal is where inefficiency lives.
Three independent sharp sources feed the consensus line behind this edge, so it reflects multiple operators' models, not a single book's view.
The signal triggers 10 patterns in our historical Playbook. The highest-returning variant has posted +14.7% ROI across its settled bets.
Baseball totals in this odds range have a trackable history: 1201 settled bets in the same market segment show +2.3% ROI, indicating how often these gaps compress in the bettor's favor.
Mispricings of this size rarely survive to first pitch. This market segment has historically corrected within roughly 20 hours as sharp action crowds the line.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 21, 2026 02:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).