ITF Men · Tennis · Jul 21, 2026 15:00 UTC · avg book margin 8.7%
Tyler BowersvsRishvanth Krishna
Bowers–Krishna moneyline: 15.2% overvalue at Betano, the market compressed it by +1.1% before serve
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 494 live signals across 185 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At Betano, the ITF Men moneyline between Tyler Bowers and Rishvanth Krishna opened at decimal 2.18—a 15.2% departure from sharp consensus. The board caught the gap in real time and signaled it to bettors while the window remained open.
Krishna won 2–1. The bet lost. Single match results are inherently noisy; we report them regardless of outcome.
The signal's value lies not in the result but in market behavior. By serve time, the Betano price had shifted +1.1% toward the flagged side—a closing-line compression that indicates the market was moving toward correction. Professionals use this directional movement, not match outcomes, to validate bet quality.
Across 1964 tennis moneylines flagged in this odds band, the segment has generated +5.0% ROI on the board.
Detection runs live before first serve, surfacing mispricings as bookmakers post them. The active board shows gaps while betting windows remain open—not after scorelines close them.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Tyler Bowers vs Rishvanth Krishna
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 22, 2026 04:52 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).