Yankees–Pirates Asian handicap at 1xBet sits 7.7% above sharp consensus, 7 hours to first pitch
What happened: Final score: 3–3. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +0.2% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 14 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 486 live signals across 183 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 7.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At 1xBet, the Asian handicap for New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) quotes decimal 2.46 on one side—7.7% higher than where sharp operators have anchored fair value with 7 hours remaining before first pitch. The pricing gap is active now, not retroactive: this window of opportunity remains measurable as the page loads.
The outlier sits 3.7 standard deviations from the consensus settlement—statistical signal rather than routine market fluctuation.
Our Playbook flags 4 historical patterns matching this setup; the strongest has returned +24.2% ROI on closed bets.
Baseball Asian handicap signals in this odds band carry documented weight: 115 settled bets in comparable mispricings have realized +23.0% ROI across our records.
Gaps at this scale rarely last: comparable mismatches in this market segment have historically tightened within roughly 1 minutes.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 22, 2026 20:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).