Yankees-Pirates totals mispriced 9.0% at Betsson; the market tightened before first pitch, confirming the catch
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 494 live signals across 185 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Betsson's total for the New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) contest opened at decimal 2.27—a 9.0% overvalue relative to sharp consensus. The signal went live before the teams took the field, and bettors with access moved on the inefficiency while it held.
The game finished 2–0. This particular bet did not cash. Individual games are essentially random outcomes; we log wins and losses without selection bias.
What separates signal from noise is market behavior, not scorelines. By game time, Betsson's price had narrowed +2.4% in favor of the flagged side—the kind of closing-line value that professionals use to measure edge quality. CLV survives variance; results do not.
Across 1234 baseball-totals signals in this range on the board, the segment shows +1.4% ROI when settled.
Detection runs live before first pitch—the algorithm flags mispricings as bookmakers post them, not after scorelines lock. The board remains active while betting windows are open.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 23, 2026 05:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).