ITF Men · Tennis · Jul 22, 2026 04:12 UTC · avg book margin 8.5%
Yuttana CharoenphonvsYuya Hirose
Charoenphon–Hirose ITF moneyline: 15.0% mispricing at Hard Rock compressed before serve, closing prices vindicated the call
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 486 live signals across 183 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Hard Rock posted decimal odds of 1.69 on one side of the Yuttana Charoenphon vs Yuya Hirose ITF Men matchup—a 15.0% gap versus sharp consensus. The board surfaced the signal before first serve, when bettors could still act on the inefficiency.
Charoenphon took it 2–0. The flagged bet delivered +0.69 units on a flat 1-unit stake.
Individual scorelines are noise. What matters: by serve time, Hard Rock's price had shifted +5.8% toward the backed side. That closing-line value—the market's own course correction—is how professionals distinguish real edge from luck. CLV survives variance; results do not.
Across 614 completed signals in this segment (tennis moneyline, fav-range prices), the board has logged +11.2% ROI.
Detection runs live—the algorithm flags mispricings the moment bookmakers post them, before the match begins. This page reflects that real-time capture, not post-hoc commentary. The board remains active while betting windows are open.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Yuttana Charoenphon vs Yuya Hirose
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 23, 2026 05:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).