ITF Men · Tennis · Jul 23, 2026 08:00 UTC · avg book margin 8.4%
Andrea de Marchi vs Lorenzo Comino moneyline: 6.1% overvalue at Rushbet compressed before serve, market vindicated the edge
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 684 live signals across 320 matches, found the same way.
Rushbet's moneyline for the ITF Men clash between Andrea de Marchi and Lorenzo Comino opened at decimal 1.50—a 6.1% mispricing versus sharp consensus. The board caught the signal pre-match, while the inefficiency remained live for bettors to exploit.
Lorenzo Comino prevailed 2–1. The flagged bet lost. Single matches produce binary noise; we report outcomes without filter or bias.
What signals quality is not the result—it is market movement. By serve time, Rushbet had shifted its price +5.8% toward the backed side, closing-line value that professionals treat as the true measure of edge. CLV persists across variance; results do not.
The segment spanning tennis moneyline signals at these odds depths has posted +10.5% ROI across 640 settled bets.
Real-time detection fires when bookmakers post prices, not when final scores land. The live board flags these gaps while betting windows remain accessible.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — pick Sebastian Baez
@ 2.00
77Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.8%
Shin
+5.8%
Power
+5.8%
Additive
-1.2%
Worst case
+5.8%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Sx.Bet
2.01
+5.3%
Novig
2.00
+4.8%
CampoBet
2.00
+4.8%
DraftKings
1.99
+4.3%
Matchbook
1.98
+3.8%
Betfair Exchange
1.97
+3.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
1.97
+3.3%
Bet105
1.96
+2.8%
Winpot
1.96
+2.8%
Ninja Casino
1.96
+2.8%
Bodog
1.95
+2.3%
Betano
1.95
+2.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.00 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+5.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +6.8% settled ROI on 41% winners
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +6.7% settled ROI on 43% winners
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +4.4% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +2.3% settled ROI on 44% winners
Past performance
Based on 357 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+4.4% 🔒
Closing line value
+2.2% 🔒
Average return
+1.4% 🔒
Beat the closing line
34%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +4.0% to +5.9% 🔒
Statistically reliable loser: even the best case still loses
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 21, 18:05 UTC at 2.10 (+5.8% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +4.0%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Andrea de Marchi vs Lorenzo Comino
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 24, 2026 05:22 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).