ITF Men · Tennis · Jul 24, 2026 15:30 UTC · avg book margin 8.4%

Oliver SandersvsPreston Brown

Sanders vs Brown moneyline 12.6% out of line at Betano — market corrected before serve, the pattern worth tracking

Offered at Betano2.07Fair price1.84+12.6% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 486 live signals across 183 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At Betano, the moneyline for Oliver Sanders vs Preston Brown (ITF Men) opened at decimal 2.07, pricing 12.6% wider than the sharp consensus. Our board caught the mispricing while bettors could still back it—the window closed before the first serve.

Match finished 0–2. The underlying bet did not land. Single matches are functionally coin flips; we track and publish both winners and losers without selection bias.

What separates noise from edge: by match time, Betano had shifted the price +8.8% in the flagged direction—positive closing-line value. CLV is the metric professionals use to assess a bet, because any one result is random and market movements are not.

Tennis moneyline signals at this odds tier have posted +5.9% ROI on 2129 settled bets tracked on the board.

Signals surface live, as bookmakers post prices—not retroactively once matches end. The board detects and publishes them while action is still possible, powered by the same detection engine running daily.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 2.69
90 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+6.0%
Entry edge
+5.1%
Edge near close
+0.5%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.56
Fair price (no-vig)
3.00
Entry odds
Quality
94/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
0.97%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Betano2.69+5.1%
bet1052.66+3.9%
SX.bet2.63+2.7%
Matchbook2.63+2.7%
Prophet X2.63+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange2.63+2.7%
STN Sports2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62+2.3%
4cx2.61+1.9%
Novig2.60+1.6%
Winpot2.60+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Oliver Sanders vs Preston Brown is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Jul 25, 2026 12:52 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).