Phillies-Yankees totals market shows 5.2% variance with sharp consensus — 2 hours until first pitch
What happened: Final score: 0–1. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.1% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 2 hours after detection before the edge closed.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 1.9 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The totals market for Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees (MLB) is displaying a measurable gap between retail and sharp pricing 2 hours before first pitch. One side of the totals is currently 5.2% away from what 20 independent sharp sources have converged on as fair value. The dislocation is live at this moment, not retroactive.
The consensus line aggregates prices from 20 independent sharp operators, eliminating any single book's skew from the calculation.
This setup maps onto 2 profitable historical patterns in our archive. The best performer among them has delivered +37.2% ROI on closed bets.
Baseball totals bets at mid-range odds—the exact category this signal falls into—have returned +1.6% ROI across 1236 tracked settled wagers. Historical precedent exists for this type of misprice to fade.
Mispricings in this market segment typically persist for about 20 hours before sharp action compresses the gap. First pitch does not wait for edges to close.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 25, 2026 01:22 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).