Kansas City Royals–Detroit Tigers: Unibet quotes Asian handicap 7.3% above sharp consensus, 16 hours until first pitch
What happened: Final score: 2–3. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.3% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 17 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 5 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 16.5 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The Asian handicap market for Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) is showing a significant split among bookmakers. At Unibet, one outcome is trading at decimal odds of 2.50—a 7.3% premium over where independent sharp operators have anchored fair value. The mispricing is live as this story publishes, with first pitch still 16 hours away.
Two patterns from the Playbook capture this configuration. The highest-performing historical variant has yielded +13.3% ROI on closed bets.
Baseball Asian handicap signals in the mid-odds band have a documented track record: 123 settled wagers in this segment have returned +23.4% ROI across our historical database.
Mispricings of this magnitude rarely hold through to first pitch. In comparable baseball Asian handicap markets, similar overpriced outcomes have typically repriced within roughly 1 minutes as sharp money moves.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 25, 2026 19:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).