Hungarian NB I · Soccer · Jul 26, 2026 20:00 CEST · avg book margin 7.0%
Paksi FCvsFerencvaros
Ferencvaros overpriced at espn-bet: Asian handicap sits 12.4% above sharp consensus, 1 hour until kickoff
Omenizer detected 12 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
The Asian handicap for Paksi FC vs Ferencvaros (Hungarian NB I) is fractured across bookmakers 1 hour before kickoff. At espn-bet, one side is quoting decimal odds of 2.35—a level that sits 12.4% above where independent sharp operators have independently calibrated the same outcome. The mispricing is active now, as this data refreshes.
The consensus backing that edge draws from 3 independent sharp sources, so the fair value anchoring this comparison reflects distributed professional judgment rather than any single operator's isolated view.
Our historical Playbook identifies 3 patterns matching this signal structure. Among them, the highest-performing pattern has returned +8.2% ROI on resolved wagers.
Soccer Asian handicap signals in this odds range carry a measurable track record: +2.8% ROI across 1676 settled bets in this exact segment, documenting how often such edges have resolved in favor of the alert bettor.
Mispricings at this width rarely survive until the whistle. Historical data from comparable Asian handicap markets shows these edges have typically compressed within roughly 11 hours before sharp action reprices the line.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
betplay
1.91
-0.8%
rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
SX.bet
1.88
-2.4%
betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Paksi FC vs Ferencvaros
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).