WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 27, 2026 08:00 UTC · avg book margin 7.0%
Prisacariu–Kotliar moneyline shows 6.0% divergence at sportzino with 5 hours remaining
What happened: Final score: 0–2. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-21.3% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 12 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 7 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The moneyline for Andreea Prisacariu vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar (WTA Tour) is trading with measurable daylight between books, and sportzino's decimal odds of 2.43 sit 6.0% above the consensus price being quoted by sharp operators. The mismatch is detectable right now, with 5 hours left before the match starts — this is not retroactive analysis but a live market fracture.
The outlier position registers 2.3 standard deviations from the consensus cluster, which disqualifies it as ordinary variance and marks it as a genuine pricing breach.
The consensus baseline draws from 3 independent sharp sources, meaning the underlying fair value is not a single operator's estimate but a professional aggregate.
Our Playbook identifies 4 historical patterns that match this market configuration, with the strongest pattern having delivered +8.0% ROI on closed bets.
Tennis moneylines at these odds levels have a documented track record: across 2189 settled signals in this exact niche, the aggregate return stands at +5.9% ROI.
Pricing dislocations in this market segment tend to persist for roughly 11 hours before sharp activity reprices the line back toward consensus.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — pick Sebastian Baez
@ 2.00
77Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.8%
Shin
+5.8%
Power
+5.8%
Additive
-1.2%
Worst case
+5.8%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Sx.Bet
2.01
+5.3%
Novig
2.00
+4.8%
CampoBet
2.00
+4.8%
DraftKings
1.99
+4.3%
Matchbook
1.98
+3.8%
Betfair Exchange
1.97
+3.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
1.97
+3.3%
Bet105
1.96
+2.8%
Winpot
1.96
+2.8%
Ninja Casino
1.96
+2.8%
Bodog
1.95
+2.3%
Betano
1.95
+2.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.00 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+5.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +6.8% settled ROI on 41% winners
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +6.7% settled ROI on 43% winners
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +4.4% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +2.3% settled ROI on 44% winners
Past performance
Based on 357 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+4.4% 🔒
Closing line value
+2.2% 🔒
Average return
+1.4% 🔒
Beat the closing line
34%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +4.0% to +5.9% 🔒
Statistically reliable loser: even the best case still loses
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 21, 18:05 UTC at 2.10 (+5.8% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +4.0%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Andreea Prisacariu vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 27, 2026 09:52 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).