Pirates–Diamondbacks totals show 2.0% mispricing with 2 hours to first pitch — sharp consensus locked in
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kutt | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.07 | -0.1% |
| Kutt | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1.93 | -0.4% |
| Novig | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.06 | -0.6% |
| SX Bet | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.06 | -0.6% |
| Sharp | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.06 | -0.6% |
| Tailgate Exchange | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.06 | -0.6% |
| Novig | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1.93 | -0.8% |
| STN Sports | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.05 | -1.1% |
| 4Cx | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.04 | -1.6% |
| Prime Sports | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.04 | -1.6% |
| Boomers | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.04 | -1.6% |
| Matchbook Exchange | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.04 | -1.6% |
| Prophet X | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.04 | -1.6% |
| YouWager | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.04 | -1.6% |
| BetMania | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.04 | -1.6% |
| Paddy Power | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1.91 | -1.7% |
| BetUS | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.03 | -2.0% |
| bet105 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.03 | -2.0% |
| Everygame | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.03 | -2.0% |
| SX Bet | Pittsburgh Pirates | 1.90 | -2.1% |
As Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks take the field (MLB), sportsbooks are scattered on the totals line. One side has drifted 2.0% beyond where independent sharp operators anchor fair value—and the gap is priced in right now, in real time, with 2 hours before play begins.
Wide pricing dispersion across the market signals genuine disagreement—and sharp consensus reveals which side carries the mispricing.
44 independent sharp sources form the backbone of this consensus, so the fair-value anchor emerges from aggregated professional judgment, not a single book's model.
Three historical patterns from our Playbook align with this signal; the highest-performing setup has returned +36.6% ROI on closed wagers.
The numbers have precedent in this corner of the market: baseball totals at comparable odds have posted +1.4% ROI across 1253 settled bets in our database.
Mispricings at this scale don't hold through gameday: comparable totals edges have historically corrected within roughly 20 hours as sharp capital reprices the line.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.32 | +0.1% |
| Bovada | 2.30 | -0.8% |
| Espn-Bet | 2.30 | -0.8% |
| Betanysports | 2.30 | -0.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.29 | -1.2% |
| Matchbook | 2.26 | -2.5% |
| BetUS | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Gtbets | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| BetMGM | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Coolbet | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Sport888 | 2.25 | -2.9% |
| Everygame | 2.25 | -2.9% |