ITF Women · Tennis · Jul 28, 2026 10:00 UTC · avg book margin 8.4%
Jana Otzipka–Anastasiia Firman: 15.0% mispriced moneyline closed toward the flagged side before the match — closing-line value is how this edge repeats
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 668 live signals across 364 matches, found the same way.
The ITF Women moneyline between Jana Otzipka and Anastasiia Firman carried a pricing inefficiency our system caught: espn-bet quoted decimal 2.65, which ran 15.0% wider than sharp consensus. The board published the signal while action was still possible.
Match outcome: 0–2. The backed position failed. Single matches are inherently unpredictable, and we disclose all results without filtering.
What matters for long-term profit: market prices drifted favorably by kickoff, settling +0.1% better than the detection point — that is closing-line value, the metric professionals use to separate skill from noise. Final scores fluctuate; pre-match repricing does not.
Tennis moneyline signals at this odds level have accumulated +6.3% ROI across 2286 completed bets tracked on our board.
The algorithm runs live each day before play begins, detecting mispricings as odds move — not after matches end. The board surfaces flagged positions while the window to act remains open.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — pick Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bwin
3.10
+7.2%
Sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
Sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
Sx.Bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
Betjack
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 441 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.89 → closing-line value +12.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Jana Otzipka vs Anastasiia Firman
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 29, 2026 05:52 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).