ITF Women · Tennis · Jul 28, 2026 18:30 UTC · avg book margin 8.4%
Yael Saffar vs Gabriella Price ended 0–2: moneyline mispricing of 13.9% closed favorably before play began
Omenizer detected 10 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
An ITF Women match between Yael Saffar and Gabriella Price presented a moneyline opportunity that our detection system caught at decimal 1.60 on Coolbet—sitting 13.9% off the sharp consensus. The board published the signal while markets were still live.
The match concluded 0–2. Bets placed at the flagged price returned +0.60 units on each unit staked.
What separates a lucky win from a genuine edge: the market itself shifted toward the flagged position by kickoff, closing +2.4% better than detection. Closing-line value—not match outcomes—is the metric that professionals use to measure whether a bet was actually sound. Noise exists in scores; repricing does not.
Tennis moneyline signals in this odds segment have produced +9.6% ROI across 712 resolved bets tracked on the board.
This analysis comes from the same detection engine that identifies pricing gaps daily before play starts. The live board surfaces them in real time—while there is still an opportunity to act—not after outcomes are known.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — pick Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bwin
3.10
+7.2%
Sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
Sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
Sx.Bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
Betjack
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 441 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Yael Saffar vs Gabriella Price
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 29, 2026 13:22 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).