ITF Women · Tennis · Jul 29, 2026 09:00 UTC · avg book margin 8.2%
Rus–Mintegi Del Olmo ITF moneyline: 18.1% soft at sportingbet, market repriced toward the flagged side before serve—what closing-line value showed despite the loss
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 609 live signals across 306 matches, found the same way.
The ITF Women moneyline between Arantxa Rus and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo displayed pricing slack on sportingbet when scanned: decimal 1.98 sat 18.1% above sharp consensus. Our detection system published the signal while market liquidity remained open.
Match outcome: 2–0. The flagged position did not win. Single matches function as coin flips around any true edge, so all results publish regardless of direction.
What matters for edge detection: the market itself moved toward the flagged price by serve time, closing +3.7% more favorable than the initial detection point. This is closing-line value—the metric professionals track because price shifts encode real information while final scores reflect variance.
Tennis moneyline signals in this odds range have accumulated +9.4% ROI across 720 resolved bets tracked on the board.
The detection system that flagged this runs live each day before play begins, not in retrospect. The board displays edges while the window to act still exists.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — pick Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bwin
3.10
+7.2%
Sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
Sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
Sx.Bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
Betjack
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 441 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Arantxa Rus vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 30, 2026 13:22 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).