MLB · Baseball · Jul 30, 2026 18:10 UTC · avg book margin 7.3%

White Sox–Yankees totals market: BetUS mispriced 2.1% above sharp lines, 5 hours to first pitch

Offered at BetUS2.05Fair price2.01+2.1% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 609 live signals across 306 matches, found the same way.

A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
NovigNew York Yankees2.08+0.4%
KuttNew York Yankees2.07-0.1%
BetOpenlyNew York Yankees2.07-0.1%
KuttChicago White Sox1.93-0.4%
Prophet XNew York Yankees2.06-0.6%
Tailgate ExchangeChicago White Sox1.93-0.8%
SX BetChicago White Sox1.93-0.8%
Prime SportsChicago White Sox1.93-0.8%
Tailgate ExchangeNew York Yankees2.05-1.1%
Desert DiamondNew York Yankees2.04-1.6%
SugarHouseNew York Yankees2.04-1.6%
TwinSpiresNew York Yankees2.04-1.6%
Four WindsNew York Yankees2.04-1.6%
BetRiversNew York Yankees2.04-1.6%
Matchbook ExchangeChicago White Sox1.91-1.7%
1XBetChicago White Sox1.91-1.7%
YouWagerChicago White Sox1.91-1.7%
BetManiaChicago White Sox1.91-1.7%
BetUSChicago White Sox1.91-1.7%
Sportsbetting.agChicago White Sox1.91-1.7%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

BetUS is quoting decimal odds of 2.05 on one side of the totals market for Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees (MLB)—a price running 2.1% higher than the fair value anchored by independent sharp operators. The edge is active right now, 5 hours before first pitch, not a retrospective observation.

When sportsbooks diverge this visibly on a single outcome, someone's pricing deviates from reality—the sharp consensus reveals which side has drifted from fair value.

25 independent sharp sources converge on the consensus fair line, so the misprice rests on distributed professional judgment rather than one operator's opinion.

This signal matches 7 patterns in our Playbook of profitable setups, with the highest-performing variant delivering +13.3% ROI on its settled record.

Baseball totals trades at mid-range odds have a documented track record in our sample: 1278 settled bets in this exact segment have produced +2.2% ROI.

Mispricings of this amplitude rarely survive to first pitch. In this market, comparable edges have historically tightened within roughly 20 hours as sharp action corrects the line.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles · MLB · Baseball — pick Boston Red Sox @ 2.32
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+2.5%
Entry edge
+0.1%
Edge near close
+0.0%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.32
Fair price (no-vig)
2.50
Entry odds
Quality
60/100
Confidence
2
Sharp books
Standard
Class
Market state: Sharp consensus (2 books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
1.7%
Recommended stake
0.1%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+1.9%
Shin
+1.7%
Power
+2.5%
Additive
-4.9%
Worst case
+2.5%
Multiplicative
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
FanDuel2.32+0.1%
Bovada2.30-0.8%
Espn-Bet2.30-0.8%
Betanysports2.30-0.8%
1xBet2.29-1.2%
Matchbook2.26-2.5%
BetUS2.25-2.9%
Gtbets2.25-2.9%
BetMGM2.25-2.9%
Coolbet2.25-2.9%
Sport8882.25-2.9%
Everygame2.25-2.9%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.32 odds → 43% implied win probability
43%
Fair win probability
+1.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+6.2% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
steam entry + home side 🔒 (Baseball) — +26.5% settled ROI on 53% winners
closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Baseball) — +23.3% settled ROI on 57% winners
early value + short odds 🔒 (Baseball) — +14.7% settled ROI on 48% winners
consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +7.1% settled ROI on 43% winners
Past performance

Based on 58 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days

+1.2% 🔒
Closing line value
+2.7% 🔒
Average return
+2.0% 🔒
Beat the closing line
59%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +7.2% to +3.0% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 20, 14:54 UTC at 2.50 (+2.5% edge) → fair price at close 2.32 → closing-line value +5.2%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.50 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).