WNBA · Basketball · Aug 02, 2026 13:00 EDT · avg book margin 6.2%
Minnesota LynxvsIndiana Fever
Lynx 108, Fever 100: the 6.5% soft price tightened into tipoff, and closing-line value held the edge
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 617 live signals across 302 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection, the Asian handicap market for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever (WNBA) carried a mispricing: STN Sports had decimal odds of 2.13, trading 6.5% above sharp consensus. The position stayed available through tipoff for bettors who moved quickly.
Final: 108–100 to Minnesota. One unit staked at the flagged odds returned +1.13 units.
The metric professionals track is closing-line value, not the outcome. Between detection and tipoff, the market shifted +0.4% toward the flagged side — that price motion encodes edge validity while a single match result is just noise.
Basketball Asian handicap signals in this odds band have posted +0.4% ROI across 31 settled positions on the board.
Detection happens before play begins, generated by the same daily scanning system. The live board surfaces edges while markets remain liquid — not after kickoff arrives.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries
· WNBA · Basketball — pick Phoenix Mercury
@ 2.95
78Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.8%
Shin
+3.7%
Power
+6.9%
Additive
-12.0%
Worst case
+6.9%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Sportzino
2.95
+20.3%
CampoBet
2.95
+20.3%
Jackpot-Bet
2.95
+20.3%
Ninja Casino
2.95
+20.3%
Lottoland
2.85
+16.2%
Neds
2.75
+12.1%
Betano
2.75
+12.1%
Betway
2.75
+12.1%
Boomers
2.75
+12.1%
Ladbrokes AU
2.75
+12.1%
Bwin
2.70
+10.1%
BetMGM
2.70
+10.1%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.95 odds → 34% implied win probability
41%
Fair win probability
+5.3% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+1.1% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +7.7% settled ROI on 40% winners
• closing drift + liquid market 🔒 (Any) — +4.7% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 37 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+1.1% 🔒
Closing line value
+8.7% 🔒
Average return
+1.4% 🔒
Beat the closing line
51%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +7.9% to +2.7% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 29, 00:30 UTC at 3.22 (+5.7% edge) → fair price at close 2.68 → closing-line value +13.7%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.22 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 03, 2026 06:42 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).