Colombia Categoría Primera A · Soccer · Aug 08, 2026 20:30 -05 · avg book margin 6.9%

Deportivo PastovsDeportivo Cali

Bet105 quotes Asian handicap 11.2% above sharp consensus, 2 hours to start

What happened: Final score: 0–2. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +16.6% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 20 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Offered at bet1052.07Fair price1.86+11.2% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 666 live signals across 275 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 1.8 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

bet105 has priced the Asian handicap for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali (Colombia Categoría Primera A) at decimal odds of 2.07—a level that sits 11.2% above where independent sharp operators have clustered their consensus, with 2 hours remaining before kickoff. The divergence captures a measurable edge in real time.

The bet105 quote lands 2.2 standard deviations away from the cluster—an outlier by statistical measure, not random market churn.

The consensus derives from 4 independent sharp sources, anchoring the theoretical fair line across multiple professional operators rather than a single house view.

Our Playbook identifies 5 historical patterns matching this configuration, with the top performer returning +10.0% ROI on its settled record.

Soccer Asian handicap edges at these odds levels have accumulated +2.8% ROI across 1881 closed bets—establishing precedent for this market segment and this signal shape.

Pricing dislocations in this market typically persist for roughly 12 hours before tightening. The window narrows as kickoff approaches.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Aug 09, 2026 03:32 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).