Czech First League · Soccer · Aug 08, 2026 17:00 CEST · avg book margin 8.7%
TeplicevsViktoria Plzeň
SportsBetting.ag shows 5.4% overvalue in Asian handicap, decimal 2.10 at 48-hour mark
Omenizer detected 12 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
99
Omen Score
+5.4%
Edge vs sharp consensus
90
Confidence
3
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Teplice
@ 2.10 — best price at SportsBetting.ag
Fits 2 Playbook patterns — strongest has realized +6.8% on settled bets
At detection—48 hours before Teplice and Viktoria Plzeň meet in the Czech First League—SportsBetting.ag quotes one side of the Asian handicap market at decimal odds of 2.10, placing it 5.4% above where 3 independent sharp sources have anchored consensus. The pricing discrepancy remains unresolved at time of analysis.
The consensus estimate grounding this edge draws from 3 separate sharp operators, so the theoretical fair value reflects multiple professional judgments rather than a single bookmaker's view.
Our Playbook connects this signal to 2 historical patterns. The highest-performing variant has delivered +6.8% ROI across its settled slate.
Within this niche—soccer Asian handicap at mid-range odds—1798 settled bets tracked on our board have accumulated +2.5% cumulative ROI. Dislocations matching this profile have materialized before.
Pricing gaps of this magnitude have historically tightened within roughly 12 hours as the market gravitates toward consensus and the opening narrows.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz
· UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahce
@ 1.98
99Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Matchbook
2.10
+9.2%
BetOnline
1.98
+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag
1.98
+2.9%
Betr AU
1.93
+0.1%
BC.Game
1.91
-0.8%
Betplay
1.91
-0.8%
Rivalry
1.91
-0.8%
Betwhale
1.91
-0.8%
Jazz Sports
1.91
-0.8%
Coolbet
1.90
-1.2%
Sx.Bet
1.88
-2.4%
Betmania
1.88
-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +6.4% settled ROI on 47% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.1% settled ROI on 39% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.2% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 82 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+4.9% 🔒
Closing line value
+4.1% 🔒
Average return
+8.6% 🔒
Beat the closing line
60%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +6.2% to +5.1% 🔒
Statistically reliable winner: even the worst case is profitable
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Teplice vs Viktoria Plzeň
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).