The moneyline market shifted 4 points toward Chicago Bears — and Unibet took 46 minutes to close a 4-point gap
At 17:00 UTC, roughly 5 hours before kickoff, the moneyline market for Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears (NFL) moved: across 100+ bookmakers, the average implied chance of Tennessee Titans went from 59% to 55% within an hour. Moves this fast are almost never noise — they are money with an opinion.
The repricing was a race. The first movers — 4cx, 888sport among them — adjusted within about 5 minutes. The median bookmaker took 46 minutes to follow, and the slowest of the 88 that moved — unibet — needed 46 minutes.
The slowest to follow: Unibet (46 min), underdog-predictions (46 min), TonyBet (46 min). That window has closed, so the numbers can be shown in full: bettors with the right information had about 46 minutes to take Chicago Bears at Unibet's pre-move price, while a 4-point gap sat on the board.
12 bookmakers were STILL quoting pre-move prices hours later. That lag is the whole game: when the market's fast money has spoken and a book hasn't listened yet, its stale price is exactly the kind of edge our board flags in real time.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Montreal Alouettes
· CFL · American Football — flagged side Winnipeg Blue Bombers
@ 3.80
88Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+1.5%
Shin
-0.1%
Power
+4.5%
Additive
+1.5%
Balanced
-14.9%
Worst case
+4.5%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
espn-bet
3.80
+3.2%
theScore
3.80
+3.2%
TABtouch
3.75
+1.9%
Betfair Exchange
3.70
+0.5%
4cx
3.64
-1.1%
bet105
3.56
-3.3%
Bodog
3.55
-3.6%
Betano
3.55
-3.6%
Bovada
3.55
-3.6%
Coolbet
3.55
-3.6%
FanDuel
3.55
-3.6%
PlayNow
3.55
-3.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.80 odds → 26% implied win probability
27%
Fair win probability
+3.7% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 28, 22:51 UTC at 3.90 (+4.5% edge) → fair price at close 3.66 → closing-line value +2.0%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.90 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Tennessee Titans vs Chicago Bears
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).