The moneyline market shifted 4 points toward Boston Red Sox — and YouWager took 70 minutes to close a 4-point gap
At 15:15 UTC, roughly 5 hours before first pitch, the moneyline market for New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox (MLB) moved: across 130+ bookmakers, the average implied chance of New York Yankees went from 49% to 45% within an hour. Moves this fast are almost never noise — they are money with an opinion.
The repricing was a race. The first movers — 4cx, Betfair Exchange (AU) among them — adjusted within about 10 minutes. The median bookmaker took 70 minutes to follow, and the slowest of the 128 that moved — youwager — needed 70 minutes.
The slowest to follow: YouWager (70 min), Winpot (70 min), William Hill (70 min). That window has closed, so the numbers can be shown in full: bettors with the right information had about 70 minutes to take Boston Red Sox at YouWager's pre-move price, while a 4-point gap sat on the board.
1 bookmaker was STILL quoting pre-move prices hours later. That lag is the whole game: when the market's fast money has spoken and a book hasn't listened yet, its stale price is exactly the kind of edge our board flags in real time.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
is on the member board now ·
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).