DraftKings is paying 2.2% over the sharp consensus in the totals market, 8 hours before first pitch
What happened: Final score: 5–2. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-3.4% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 7 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 508 live signals across 187 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 7.9 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
8 hours before Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants (MLB), bookmakers disagree about the totals market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 2.2% above the sharp consensus at DraftKings, at decimal odds of 2.00. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
The spread of prices across books is unusually wide right now — when bookmakers can't agree, someone is wrong, and the sharp consensus says which side.
42 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.
Edges like this don't wait for first pitch: in this market, they have typically held for about 19 hours before the price corrects.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Sep 03, 2026 19:33 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).