ATP Challenger Tour · Tennis · Sep 04, 2026 12:10 UTC

Oriol Roca-BatallavsFacundo Mena

1xBet is paying 5.9% over the sharp consensus in the totals market, 19 hours before first serve

Offered at 1xBet2.19Fair price2.07+5.9% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 534 live signals across 262 matches, found the same way.

LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
90
Omen Score
+8.9%
Edge vs sharp consensus
80
Confidence
16
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Over 9.5 @ 2.19 — best price at 1xBet
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now · see them all with a free account
A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
matchbookFacundo Mena2.20-2.8%
1xbetFacundo Mena2.20-2.8%
draftkingsFacundo Mena2.17-4.2%
matchbookOriol Roca-Batalla1.74-4.6%
superbetFacundo Mena2.15-5.0%
PointsBet (Australia)Facundo Mena2.15-5.0%
PointsBet (Ontario)Facundo Mena2.15-5.0%
fanduelOriol Roca-Batalla1.72-5.2%
betonlineFacundo Mena2.14-5.5%
sportsbetting-agFacundo Mena2.14-5.5%
isnFacundo Mena2.14-5.5%
Hard RockOriol Roca-Batalla1.71-5.8%
Hard Rock (Illinois)Oriol Roca-Batalla1.71-5.8%
Hard Rock (Florida)Oriol Roca-Batalla1.71-5.8%
betparxOriol Roca-Batalla1.71-6.1%
leyusportsOriol Roca-Batalla1.71-6.1%
Four WindsOriol Roca-Batalla1.71-6.1%
RushbetOriol Roca-Batalla1.71-6.1%
betriversOriol Roca-Batalla1.71-6.1%
sugarhouseOriol Roca-Batalla1.71-6.1%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

19 hours before Oriol Roca-Batalla vs Facundo Mena (ATP Challenger Tour), bookmakers disagree about the totals market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 5.9% above the sharp consensus at 1xBet, at decimal odds of 2.19. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.

The spread of prices across books is unusually wide right now — when bookmakers can't agree, someone is wrong, and the sharp consensus says which side.

12 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.

Edges like this don't wait for first serve: in this market, they have typically held for about 2 hours before the price corrects.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova · WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova @ 3.10
81 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
bwin3.10+7.2%
sportingbet3.10+7.2%
sportsinteraction3.10+7.2%
Superbet3.05+5.5%
SX.bet3.03+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange3.03+4.8%
Matchbook3.01+4.1%
Betway3.00+3.7%
Casumo3.00+3.7%
Unibet3.00+3.7%
Proline3.00+3.7%
betJACK3.00+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Oriol Roca-Batalla vs Facundo Mena is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).