Hard Rock is paying 48.8% over the sharp consensus in the totals market, 14 hours before first pitch
What happened: Final score: 2–4. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.90 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-7.0% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 15 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 2 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 14 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
14 hours before Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB), bookmakers disagree about the totals market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 48.8% above the sharp consensus at Hard Rock, at decimal odds of 3.00. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
One price sits 6.3 standard deviations away from where the rest of the market has settled — a genuine outlier, not ordinary noise.
48 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.
Edges like this don't wait for first pitch: in this market, they have typically held for about 18 hours before the price corrects.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Sep 09, 2026 04:21 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).