Michael GeertsvsLucas Poullain
Every tracked price on Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange | Michael Geerts | 2.12 | -2.7% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Michael Geerts | 2.12 | -2.7% |
| Dabble (Australia) | Lucas Poullain | 1.80 | -3.7% |
| BET99 | Lucas Poullain | 1.80 | -3.7% |
| Betano (Greece) | Lucas Poullain | 1.78 | -4.7% |
| Polymarket | Lucas Poullain | 1.78 | -4.7% |
| Overtime | Michael Geerts | 2.07 | -5.0% |
| Polymarket | Michael Geerts | 2.07 | -5.0% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Lucas Poullain | 1.77 | -5.4% |
| Hard Rock (Florida) | Lucas Poullain | 1.77 | -5.4% |
| FanDuel | Lucas Poullain | 1.77 | -5.4% |
| Overtime | Lucas Poullain | 1.77 | -5.4% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Lucas Poullain | 1.77 | -5.4% |
| duel | Lucas Poullain | 1.77 | -5.4% |
| LowVig | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -5.7% |
| Sportsbetting.ag | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -5.7% |
| BetOnline | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -5.7% |
| theScore | Michael Geerts | 2.05 | -5.9% |
| ESPN BET | Michael Geerts | 2.05 | -5.9% |
| Desert Diamond | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Four Winds | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| BetRivers | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| SugarHouse | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| RushBet | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| TwinSpires | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| TABtouch | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Play Eagle | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Unibet | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Proline | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Unibet (Australia) | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| betPARX | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Bally Bet | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| LeoVegas | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| NorthStar Bets | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Superbet | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| Casumo | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| betJACK | Lucas Poullain | 1.76 | -6.0% |
| DraftKings | Lucas Poullain | 1.75 | -6.3% |
| Neds | Lucas Poullain | 1.75 | -6.3% |
| Ladbrokes (Australia) | Lucas Poullain | 1.75 | -6.3% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Michael Geerts 2.18 · Lucas Poullain 1.87. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| Sx.Bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain
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