Nicolas MejiavsLiam Draxl
Every tracked price on Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| duel | Nicolas Mejia | 2.22 | -2.7% |
| Mise-o-jeu | Liam Draxl | 1.75 | -3.2% |
| duel | Liam Draxl | 1.75 | -3.2% |
| draftkings | Liam Draxl | 1.72 | -4.7% |
| robinhood | Nicolas Mejia | 2.17 | -4.9% |
| novig | Nicolas Mejia | 2.17 | -4.9% |
| Bodog | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.3% |
| bovada | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.3% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.3% |
| fanduel | Nicolas Mejia | 2.16 | -5.3% |
| betnation-au | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.6% |
| surgebet | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.6% |
| betdeluxe | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.6% |
| 1xbet | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.6% |
| coolbet | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.6% |
| STN Sports | Liam Draxl | 1.71 | -5.6% |
| Bodog | Nicolas Mejia | 2.15 | -5.7% |
| bovada | Nicolas Mejia | 2.15 | -5.7% |
| coolbet | Nicolas Mejia | 2.15 | -5.7% |
| Mise-o-jeu | Nicolas Mejia | 2.15 | -5.7% |
| STN Sports | Nicolas Mejia | 2.15 | -5.7% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Liam Draxl | 1.70 | -6.1% |
| betano | Liam Draxl | 1.70 | -6.1% |
| draftkings | Nicolas Mejia | 2.14 | -6.2% |
| robinhood | Liam Draxl | 1.69 | -6.4% |
| betnation-au | Nicolas Mejia | 2.13 | -6.6% |
| surgebet | Nicolas Mejia | 2.13 | -6.6% |
| betdeluxe | Nicolas Mejia | 2.13 | -6.6% |
| kalshi | Nicolas Mejia | 2.13 | -6.6% |
| espn-bet | Liam Draxl | 1.69 | -6.7% |
| theScore | Liam Draxl | 1.69 | -6.7% |
| fanduel | Liam Draxl | 1.69 | -6.7% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Nicolas Mejia | 2.12 | -7.0% |
| bcgame | Nicolas Mejia | 2.12 | -7.0% |
| rivalry | Nicolas Mejia | 2.12 | -7.0% |
| betplay | Nicolas Mejia | 2.12 | -7.0% |
| polymarket | Liam Draxl | 1.68 | -7.2% |
| 20Bet | Liam Draxl | 1.68 | -7.2% |
| bcgame | Liam Draxl | 1.68 | -7.2% |
| rivalry | Liam Draxl | 1.68 | -7.2% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Nicolas Mejia 2.28 · Liam Draxl 1.81. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl
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Live reference — prices refresh with this page (10-minute cache) and can change at the bookmaker. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).