Daniel BagnolinivsElias Julian Werner
Every tracked price on Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.21 | -3.5% |
| kalshi | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.20 | -3.7% |
| betano | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.16 | -7.2% |
| 888sport | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.14 | -8.6% |
| ladbrokes | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.14 | -8.6% |
| Coral | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.14 | -8.6% |
| sportingbet | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.14 | -8.6% |
| sportsinteraction | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.14 | -8.6% |
| bwin | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.14 | -8.6% |
| superbet | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.14 | -8.8% |
| Hard Rock | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.3% |
| unibet | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.6% |
| sugarhouse | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.6% |
| Desert Diamond | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.6% |
| Four Winds | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.6% |
| TwinSpires | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.6% |
| Rushbet | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.6% |
| betrivers | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.6% |
| 1xbet | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.13 | -9.8% |
| draftkings | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.12 | -10.0% |
| rivalry | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.12 | -10.4% |
| betplay | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.12 | -10.4% |
| bcgame | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.12 | -10.4% |
| betwhale | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.12 | -10.4% |
| sportzino | Daniel Bagnolini | 1.11 | -11.1% |
| draftkings | Elias Julian Werner | 5.25 | -22.8% |
| unibet | Elias Julian Werner | 5.10 | -25.0% |
| sugarhouse | Elias Julian Werner | 5.10 | -25.0% |
| Desert Diamond | Elias Julian Werner | 5.10 | -25.0% |
| Four Winds | Elias Julian Werner | 5.10 | -25.0% |
| TwinSpires | Elias Julian Werner | 5.10 | -25.0% |
| Rushbet | Elias Julian Werner | 5.10 | -25.0% |
| betrivers | Elias Julian Werner | 5.10 | -25.0% |
| ladbrokes | Elias Julian Werner | 5.00 | -26.5% |
| Coral | Elias Julian Werner | 5.00 | -26.5% |
| Hard Rock | Elias Julian Werner | 5.00 | -26.5% |
| kalshi | Elias Julian Werner | 4.96 | -27.1% |
| rivalry | Elias Julian Werner | 4.90 | -27.9% |
| betplay | Elias Julian Werner | 4.90 | -27.9% |
| bcgame | Elias Julian Werner | 4.90 | -27.9% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Daniel Bagnolini 1.25 · Elias Julian Werner 6.80. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Daniel Bagnolini vs Elias Julian Werner
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live reference — prices refresh with this page (10-minute cache) and can change at the bookmaker. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).