Daniel MichalskivsLorenzo Berto
Every tracked price on Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo Berto, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Daniel Michalski | 1.08 | -3.6% |
| Polymarket (USA) | Daniel Michalski | 1.07 | -4.5% |
| 1XBet | Daniel Michalski | 1.03 | -8.2% |
| duel | Daniel Michalski | 1.03 | -8.2% |
| Coral | Daniel Michalski | 1.03 | -8.2% |
| Ladbrokes | Daniel Michalski | 1.03 | -8.2% |
| 888sport | Daniel Michalski | 1.03 | -8.2% |
| DraftKings | Daniel Michalski | 1.03 | -8.3% |
| Rivalry | Daniel Michalski | 1.02 | -9.1% |
| betwhale | Daniel Michalski | 1.02 | -9.1% |
| Betplay | Daniel Michalski | 1.02 | -9.1% |
| BC.GAME | Daniel Michalski | 1.02 | -9.1% |
| Sports Interaction | Daniel Michalski | 1.02 | -9.1% |
| Sportingbet | Daniel Michalski | 1.02 | -9.1% |
| bwin | Daniel Michalski | 1.02 | -9.1% |
| Sportzino | Daniel Michalski | 1.01 | -10.0% |
| Superbet | Daniel Michalski | 1.01 | -10.0% |
| duel | Lorenzo Berto | 13.00 | -48.7% |
| Superbet | Lorenzo Berto | 12.00 | -52.7% |
| Coral | Lorenzo Berto | 11.00 | -56.6% |
| Ladbrokes | Lorenzo Berto | 11.00 | -56.6% |
| DraftKings | Lorenzo Berto | 10.00 | -60.6% |
| 1XBet | Lorenzo Berto | 10.00 | -60.6% |
| 888sport | Lorenzo Berto | 10.00 | -60.6% |
| Kalshi | Lorenzo Berto | 9.37 | -63.0% |
| Rivalry | Lorenzo Berto | 9.20 | -63.7% |
| betwhale | Lorenzo Berto | 9.20 | -63.7% |
| Betplay | Lorenzo Berto | 9.20 | -63.7% |
| BC.GAME | Lorenzo Berto | 9.20 | -63.7% |
| Sports Interaction | Lorenzo Berto | 9.00 | -64.5% |
| Sportingbet | Lorenzo Berto | 9.00 | -64.5% |
| bwin | Lorenzo Berto | 9.00 | -64.5% |
| Sportzino | Lorenzo Berto | 8.50 | -66.5% |
| Polymarket (USA) | Lorenzo Berto | 7.92 | -68.8% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Daniel Michalski 1.12 · Lorenzo Berto 25.35. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| Sx.Bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo Berto
is on the member board now ·
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