Maxwell ExstedvsJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Every tracked price on Maxwell Exsted vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| betwhale | Maxwell Exsted | 4.50 | +14.0% |
| rivalry | Maxwell Exsted | 4.50 | +14.0% |
| betplay | Maxwell Exsted | 4.50 | +14.0% |
| bcgame | Maxwell Exsted | 4.50 | +14.0% |
| betano | Maxwell Exsted | 4.35 | +10.2% |
| 1xbet | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.30 | -8.0% |
| polymarket | Maxwell Exsted | 3.55 | -10.0% |
| Hard Rock | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.27 | -10.1% |
| draftkings | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.4% |
| kalshi | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.5% |
| unibet | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.6% |
| sugarhouse | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.6% |
| Four Winds | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.6% |
| Desert Diamond | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.6% |
| Rushbet | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.6% |
| TwinSpires | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.6% |
| betrivers | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.26 | -10.6% |
| kalshi | Maxwell Exsted | 3.51 | -11.1% |
| polymarket | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.25 | -11.3% |
| sportzino | Maxwell Exsted | 3.50 | -11.3% |
| 888sport | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.25 | -11.3% |
| ladbrokes | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.25 | -11.3% |
| ladbrokes | Maxwell Exsted | 3.50 | -11.3% |
| Coral | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.25 | -11.3% |
| Coral | Maxwell Exsted | 3.50 | -11.3% |
| superbet | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.24 | -12.0% |
| 1xbet | Maxwell Exsted | 3.47 | -12.1% |
| superbet | Maxwell Exsted | 3.45 | -12.6% |
| draftkings | Maxwell Exsted | 3.45 | -12.6% |
| sportzino | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1.23 | -12.7% |
| unibet | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| sugarhouse | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| Four Winds | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| Desert Diamond | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| Rushbet | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| TwinSpires | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| betrivers | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| 888sport | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| Hard Rock | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
| bwin | Maxwell Exsted | 3.40 | -13.8% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Maxwell Exsted 3.95 · Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 1.41. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
18
Omen Score
+14.0%
Edge vs sharp consensus
30
Confidence
1
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Maxwell Exsted
@ 4.50 — best price at betwhale
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now ·
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AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Maxwell Exsted vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
is on the member board now ·
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