Tiago CacaovsAdrien Burdet
Every tracked price on Tiago Cacao vs Adrien Burdet, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock (Florida) | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.0% |
| Hard Rock (Illinois) | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.0% |
| Hard Rock | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.0% |
| unibet | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.3% |
| Rushbet | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.3% |
| sugarhouse | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.3% |
| Four Winds | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.3% |
| betrivers | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.3% |
| TwinSpires | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.3% |
| Desert Diamond | Tiago Cacao | 1.14 | -7.3% |
| 888sport | Tiago Cacao | 1.12 | -8.5% |
| Coral | Tiago Cacao | 1.12 | -8.5% |
| ladbrokes | Tiago Cacao | 1.12 | -8.5% |
| betano | Tiago Cacao | 1.12 | -8.9% |
| coolbet | Tiago Cacao | 1.12 | -8.9% |
| theScore | Tiago Cacao | 1.12 | -9.1% |
| kalshi | Tiago Cacao | 1.11 | -9.3% |
| bwin | Tiago Cacao | 1.11 | -9.6% |
| sportingbet | Tiago Cacao | 1.11 | -9.6% |
| sportsinteraction | Tiago Cacao | 1.11 | -9.6% |
| sportzino | Tiago Cacao | 1.11 | -9.6% |
| 1xbet | Tiago Cacao | 1.10 | -10.4% |
| superbet | Tiago Cacao | 1.10 | -10.5% |
| rivalry | Tiago Cacao | 1.10 | -10.5% |
| betwhale | Tiago Cacao | 1.10 | -10.5% |
| bcgame | Tiago Cacao | 1.10 | -10.5% |
| betplay | Tiago Cacao | 1.10 | -10.5% |
| draftkings | Tiago Cacao | 1.09 | -11.2% |
| draftkings | Adrien Burdet | 6.00 | -21.4% |
| Coral | Adrien Burdet | 5.50 | -27.9% |
| ladbrokes | Adrien Burdet | 5.50 | -27.9% |
| theScore | Adrien Burdet | 5.50 | -27.9% |
| rivalry | Adrien Burdet | 5.40 | -29.3% |
| betwhale | Adrien Burdet | 5.40 | -29.3% |
| bcgame | Adrien Burdet | 5.40 | -29.3% |
| betplay | Adrien Burdet | 5.40 | -29.3% |
| superbet | Adrien Burdet | 5.35 | -29.9% |
| coolbet | Adrien Burdet | 5.35 | -29.9% |
| bwin | Adrien Burdet | 5.25 | -31.2% |
| sportingbet | Adrien Burdet | 5.25 | -31.2% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Tiago Cacao 1.23 · Adrien Burdet 7.63. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90
Omen Score
Why this bet
+6.0%
Entry edge
+5.1%
Edge near close
+0.5%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.56
Fair price (no-vig)
3.00
Entry odds
Quality
94/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
0.97%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.69 | +5.1% |
| bet105 | 2.66 | +3.9% |
| SX.bet | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| Matchbook | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| Prophet X | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| STN Sports | 2.62 | +2.3% |
| Betfair Exchange | 2.62 | +2.3% |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62 | +2.3% |
| 4cx | 2.61 | +1.9% |
| Novig | 2.60 | +1.6% |
| Winpot | 2.60 | +1.6% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Tiago Cacao vs Adrien Burdet
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live reference — prices refresh with this page (10-minute cache) and can change at the bookmaker. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).