WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 14, 2026 11:10 UTC · avg book margin 6.7%
Daria KhomutsianskayavsPriska Nugroho
Khomutsianskaya–Nugroho WTA moneyline: 11.5% edge closed +5.6% tighter by kickoff, the market's own verdict on the original mispricing
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 486 live signals across 183 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Our detection board caught a WTA Tour moneyline pricing gap ahead of Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Priska Nugroho: BetNation quoted decimal odds of 2.01, sitting 11.5% beyond the sharp consensus. The signal ran live before the match began.
Match result: 2–0. The flagged moneyline lost. Single outcomes scatter randomly around the edge; we publish winners and losses without selection bias.
What matters over time: closing odds improved +5.6% from the entry point—positive closing-line value. CLV is the metric that separates signal from noise because the market's closing price embeds collective intelligence, while any single match is too noisy to judge a bet's merit.
Tennis moneylines at these mid-range odds have posted +4.6% ROI across 1657 resolved bets tracked on the board.
The detection engine flags mispricings in real time, before matches start. Edges appear on the live board only while prices remain actionable; the window closes as markets correct themselves.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Priska Nugroho
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 14, 2026 23:39 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).