WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 18, 2026 16:10 UTC · avg book margin 7.9%

Rasheeda McAdoovsIsabella Shinikova

McAdoo–Shinikova moneyline at dogg_house: 8.4% premium over sharp consensus, 14 hours from serve

What happened: Final score: 0–2. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.4% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 14 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Offered at dogg_house2.16Fair price1.99+8.4% above fair

Omenizer detected 48 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 14 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

With 14 hours left before Rasheeda McAdoo faces Isabella Shinikova on the WTA Tour, dogg_house is quoting this moneyline at decimal odds of 2.16—a 8.4% divergence above where independent sharp operators have priced fair value. The mispricing is active now, not archival; the odds remain quoted as this page updates.

Three independent sharp sources contribute to the consensus price, meaning the fair-value estimate rests on multiple operators' separate market reads, not a single book's view.

The match and odds tier satisfy 4 patterns logged in our Playbook; the most productive of them has generated +8.4% on closed bets.

Tennis moneyline signals at this odds range have returned +5.5% ROI across 1846 resolved bets in our database—historical evidence that similar edges settle profitably.

Mispricings this wide do not hold through serve time: comparable tennis edges have historically tightened within roughly 12 hours as sharps trade into the position.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 2.69
90 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+6.0%
Entry edge
+5.1%
Edge near close
+0.5%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.56
Fair price (no-vig)
3.00
Entry odds
Quality
94/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
0.97%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Betano2.69+5.1%
bet1052.66+3.9%
SX.bet2.63+2.7%
Matchbook2.63+2.7%
Prophet X2.63+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange2.63+2.7%
STN Sports2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62+2.3%
4cx2.61+1.9%
Novig2.60+1.6%
Winpot2.60+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Rasheeda McAdoo vs Isabella Shinikova is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Jul 18, 2026 18:01 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).