WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 21, 2026 08:00 UTC · avg book margin 5.6%
Tamara KorpatschvsVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Korpatsch–Jimenez Kasintseva moneyline: 1xBet quoting 6.1% soft to sharp consensus, 21 hours left
What happened: Final score: 2–1. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +0.67 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +4.5% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 6 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 488 live signals across 184 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 20.8 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
With 21 hours remaining until Tamara Korpatsch takes on Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (WTA Tour), a moneyline pricing gap has opened: 1xBet is offering decimal odds of 1.68 on one side, sitting 6.1% below where the sharp market has priced the match. The opportunity exists now, before first serve—this is a live market inefficiency, not a retrospective observation.
The consensus baseline draws from 3 independent sharp operators, so the fair value behind this edge reflects genuine market conviction rather than a single book's forecast.
One historically profitable pattern from our Playbook applies to this signal, with a realized return of +2.9% on closed bets.
Tennis moneyline signals in this odds range carry documented history: 576 settled bets in comparable scenarios have produced +10.2% ROI, showing how reliably these pricing fractures have resolved.
Mispricings of this magnitude typically persist for roughly 12 hours before sharp action compresses the gap and the edge collapses.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Tamara Korpatsch vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 21, 2026 16:05 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).