WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 23, 2026 09:00 UTC · avg book margin 5.5%
Oleksandra OliynykovavsLeyre Romero Gormaz
Oliynykova–Romero Gormaz moneyline: betdeluxe overpricing at 2.74 (11.8% above sharp consensus) with 18 hours to serve
What happened: Final score: 2–1. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +8.8% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 29 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 3 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 17.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Betdeluxe is quoting decimal odds of 2.74 on one side of the Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tour moneyline—11.8% above where independent sharp operators have anchored fair value. The clock shows 18 hours until first serve, and this pricing window is still active as the page loads.
The betdeluxe quote sits 3.3 standard deviations beyond the consensus baseline—a statistical outlier that rises above normal market noise.
Three independent sharp sources converge on the consensus baseline, meaning the edge reflects distributed professional judgment rather than any single operator's estimate.
Our Playbook flags 2 historical patterns that align with this signal. The highest-conviction setup among them has returned +6.5% ROI on settled bets.
Tennis moneyline signals in this odds band carry documented track record: 2008 settled bets in comparable scenarios have realized +5.1% ROI, demonstrating how consistently these pricing splits have resolved.
Mispricings at this magnitude rarely survive to the opening serve. Historical data shows comparable edges in this market segment have typically compressed within roughly 12 hours as sharp action reprices toward fair value.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 23, 2026 13:52 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).