WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 25, 2026 18:10 UTC · avg book margin 7.5%
Mia KupresvsValeria Savinykh
Kupres–Savinykh moneyline trades 11.8% soft at BetNation with 2 hours to serve
What happened: Final score: 0–2. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +0.3% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 8 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 11 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 1.8 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
BetNation is quoting decimal odds of 2.60 on one side of the Mia Kupres vs Valeria Savinykh moneyline (WTA Tour), a price that sits 11.8% below where independent sharp sources have anchored their consensus. The gap exists now, with 2 hours remaining before play begins—an active window, not a retrospective observation.
That quotation sits 2.9 standard deviations removed from the market's center. It signals genuine statistical separation, not ordinary market churn.
Three independent sharp operators have independently priced this moneyline, grounding the consensus in aggregated professional judgment rather than any single book's isolated view.
Our Playbook identifies 1 historical pattern that aligns with this setup. The strongest documented performer in this category has returned +4.6% ROI on closed bets.
Tennis moneylines at these odds have logged a measurable track record: +5.8% ROI across 2135 settled wagers in this exact market segment, establishing a baseline for how often such mispricings resolve.
Edges of this magnitude do not typically hold until first serve. Historical data from comparable moneyline signals suggests this one has persisted for roughly 12 hours on average before sharp action compresses the price.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Mia Kupres vs Valeria Savinykh
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 26, 2026 05:32 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).