WTA Tour · Tennis · Jul 26, 2026 03:35 UTC · avg book margin 7.1%
Miho KuramochivsHiroko Kuwata
Kuramochi-Kuwata moneyline trades 8.1% soft at 1xBet with 1 hour to serve
What happened: Final score: 2–0. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +0.35 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +6.1% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 69 minutes after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 486 live signals across 183 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 1.4 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
1xBet has priced one side of the Miho Kuramochi vs Hiroko Kuwata moneyline (WTA Tour) at decimal odds of 1.35, a quote that lags independent sharp consensus by 8.1% with 1 hours remaining before play. The mispricing is active as you read this—not archived data, but a live pricing gap.
This outlier sits 2.1 standard deviations away from where the broader market has clustered—statistical separation that exceeds normal market churn.
The consensus anchoring that edge draws on 3 independent sharp sources, so the fair value it represents rests on distributed professional calibration rather than any single operator's opinion.
Our Playbook flags 1 historical pattern matching this signal—the best-documented performer has returned +6.0% ROI on closed bets.
Tennis moneylines in this odds range have logged measurable track record: +10.4% ROI across 660 settled wagers in this exact segment, establishing a baseline for how such mispricings have resolved.
Mispricings of this magnitude do not typically persist until first serve. In this market segment, comparable edges have historically compressed within roughly 12 hours as sharp action reprices.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Miho Kuramochi vs Hiroko Kuwata
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Jul 26, 2026 05:33 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).