WTA Tour · Tennis · Aug 27, 2026 16:30 UTC · avg book margin 6.4%

Lucie HavlickovavsNao Hibino

Sportzino is paying 5.5% over the sharp consensus in the moneyline market, 6 hours before first serve

Offered at Sportzino2.00Fair price1.90+5.5% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 677 live signals across 283 matches, found the same way.

A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
campobetNao Hibino1.93-0.6%
novigLucie Havlickova2.06-0.9%
marcaapuestasLucie Havlickova2.05-1.4%
sportsbetting-agLucie Havlickova2.05-1.4%
betonlineLucie Havlickova2.05-1.4%
isnLucie Havlickova2.05-1.4%
bet105Lucie Havlickova2.04-1.8%
novigNao Hibino1.90-1.9%
prophet-xNao Hibino1.90-1.9%
prophet-xLucie Havlickova2.03-2.3%
overtimemarketsLucie Havlickova2.03-2.3%
Betfair Exchange (Australia)Nao Hibino1.88-2.7%
betfair-exNao Hibino1.88-2.7%
RushbetLucie Havlickova2.02-2.8%
TwinSpiresLucie Havlickova2.02-2.8%
betriversLucie Havlickova2.02-2.8%
Desert DiamondLucie Havlickova2.02-2.8%
sugarhouseLucie Havlickova2.02-2.8%
Four WindsLucie Havlickova2.02-2.8%
unibetLucie Havlickova2.02-2.8%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

6 hours before Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino (WTA Tour), bookmakers disagree about the moneyline market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 5.5% above the sharp consensus at Sportzino, at decimal odds of 2.00. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.

The spread of prices across books is unusually wide right now — when bookmakers can't agree, someone is wrong, and the sharp consensus says which side.

3 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.

This signal fits 1 historically profitable pattern from our Playbook — the strongest has realized +10.9% on settled bets.

Similar bets have paid before: signals in this exact segment — tennis moneyline, mid-range odds — have returned +6.6% ROI across 3550 settled bets tracked on our board.

Edges like this don't wait for first serve: in this market, they have typically held for about 8 hours before the price corrects.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova · WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova @ 3.10
81 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
bwin3.10+7.2%
sportingbet3.10+7.2%
sportsinteraction3.10+7.2%
Superbet3.05+5.5%
SX.bet3.03+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange3.03+4.8%
Matchbook3.01+4.1%
Betway3.00+3.7%
Casumo3.00+3.7%
Unibet3.00+3.7%
Proline3.00+3.7%
betJACK3.00+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).