NCAA Division 1 · American Football · Aug 29, 2026 21:30 UTC · avg book margin 5.0%
North Dakota StatevsJacksonville State
Duelbits is paying 6.6% over the sharp consensus in the moneyline market, 23 hours before kickoff
Omenizer detected 21 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
91
Omen Score
+6.6%
Edge vs sharp consensus
95
Confidence
4
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Jacksonville State
@ 3.50 — best price at Duelbits
23 hours before North Dakota State vs Jacksonville State (NCAA Division 1), bookmakers disagree about the moneyline market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 6.6% above the sharp consensus at Duelbits, at decimal odds of 3.50. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
One price sits 2.9 standard deviations away from where the rest of the market has settled — a genuine outlier, not ordinary noise.
4 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.
This signal fits 1 historically profitable pattern from our Playbook — the strongest has realized +11.7% on settled bets.
Similar bets have paid before: signals in this exact segment — american football moneyline, mid-range odds — have returned +26.3% ROI across 64 settled bets tracked on our board.
Edges like this don't wait for kickoff: in this market, they have typically held for about 2 days before the price corrects.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Montreal Alouettes
· CFL · American Football — flagged side Winnipeg Blue Bombers
@ 3.80
88Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+1.5%
Shin
-0.1%
Power
+4.5%
Additive
+1.5%
Balanced
-14.9%
Worst case
+4.5%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
espn-bet
3.80
+3.2%
theScore
3.80
+3.2%
TABtouch
3.75
+1.9%
Betfair Exchange
3.70
+0.5%
4cx
3.64
-1.1%
bet105
3.56
-3.3%
Bodog
3.55
-3.6%
Betano
3.55
-3.6%
Bovada
3.55
-3.6%
Coolbet
3.55
-3.6%
FanDuel
3.55
-3.6%
PlayNow
3.55
-3.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.80 odds → 26% implied win probability
27%
Fair win probability
+3.7% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 28, 22:51 UTC at 3.90 (+4.5% edge) → fair price at close 3.68 → closing-line value +1.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.90 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for North Dakota State vs Jacksonville State
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).