German Bundesliga · Soccer · Sep 12, 2026 15:30 CEST

Mainz 05vsEintracht Frankfurt

Coolbet pricing 1X2 at 2.10 sits 3.9% above sharp consensus, 9 hours to start

What happened: Final score: 1–3. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +9.4% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 10 hours after detection before the edge closed.

How it ended, price by price: Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at Coolbet2.10Fair price2.02+3.9% above fair

Omenizer detected 77 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 9.5 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At detection—9 hours before Mainz 05 plays Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga—Coolbet has one 1X2 (match result) outcome at decimal 2.10, a quotation that sits 3.9% above where independent sharp sources have anchored their consensus fair value. The market split is active, not post-game analysis.

The Coolbet price deviates 2.2 standard deviations from the consensus cluster—a statistical distance that signals genuine mispricing rather than routine market scatter.

Five independent sharp sources form the consensus benchmark, so the fair line carries professional weight distributed across multiple operators and models.

This segment—soccer 1X2 at mid-range odds—has accumulated a historical return of +4.1% ROI across 4086 resolved bets tracked on our database.

Mispricings this scale rarely persist through kickoff. Historically, comparable edges in this market segment have compressed toward consensus in roughly 13 hours from detection.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League · Soccer — flagged side Fenerbahçe @ 1.98
99 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+5.3%
Entry edge
+2.9%
Edge near close
+0.4%
Risk-adjusted edge
1.92
Fair price (no-vig)
2.45
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
7
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Market consensus (no-vig)
Sizing
3.7%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Matchbook2.10+9.2%
BetOnline1.98+2.9%
SportsBetting.ag1.98+2.9%
Betr AU1.93+0.1%
BC.Game1.91-0.8%
betplay1.91-0.8%
rivalry1.91-0.8%
betwhale1.91-0.8%
Jazz Sports1.91-0.8%
Coolbet1.90-1.2%
SX.bet1.88-2.4%
betmania1.88-2.4%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
1.98 odds → 50% implied win probability
52%
Fair win probability
+3.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+4.8% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 02, 03:51 UTC at 2.45 (+5.3% edge) → fair price at close 1.91 → closing-line value +21.6%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.45 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

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Record settled · last updated Sep 12, 2026 15:33 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).