Sebastian BaezvsHubert Hurkacz
Every tracked price on Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkacz, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel | Sebastian Baez | 3.10 | -1.1% |
| duel | Sebastian Baez | 3.10 | -1.1% |
| betfair-ex | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| betway | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| theScore | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| sportsbet | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| Unibet (United Kingdom) | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| overtimemarkets | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| bet99 | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| betano | Sebastian Baez | 3.00 | -4.3% |
| rebet | Sebastian Baez | 2.97 | -5.2% |
| draftkings | Sebastian Baez | 2.97 | -5.2% |
| Ladbrokes (Australia) | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.44 | -5.8% |
| Neds | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.44 | -5.8% |
| betsson | Sebastian Baez | 2.95 | -5.9% |
| rizk | Sebastian Baez | 2.95 | -5.9% |
| ibet | Sebastian Baez | 2.95 | -5.9% |
| betsafe | Sebastian Baez | 2.95 | -5.9% |
| rivalry | Sebastian Baez | 2.94 | -6.2% |
| betplay | Sebastian Baez | 2.94 | -6.2% |
| bcgame | Sebastian Baez | 2.94 | -6.2% |
| betnation-au | Sebastian Baez | 2.94 | -6.2% |
| betdeluxe | Sebastian Baez | 2.94 | -6.2% |
| surgebet | Sebastian Baez | 2.94 | -6.2% |
| betwhale | Sebastian Baez | 2.92 | -6.8% |
| betnacional | Sebastian Baez | 2.92 | -6.8% |
| betfair-ex | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.42 | -7.3% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.42 | -7.3% |
| coolbet | Sebastian Baez | 2.90 | -7.5% |
| play-alberta | Sebastian Baez | 2.90 | -7.5% |
| isn | Sebastian Baez | 2.89 | -7.8% |
| superbet | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.41 | -7.8% |
| sportsbetting-ag | Sebastian Baez | 2.89 | -7.8% |
| betonline | Sebastian Baez | 2.89 | -7.8% |
| overtimemarkets | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.41 | -8.1% |
| isn | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.40 | -8.5% |
| sportingbet | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.40 | -8.5% |
| sportsinteraction | Hubert Hurkacz | 1.40 | -8.5% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Sebastian Baez 3.13 · Hubert Hurkacz 1.53. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkacz
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